中国现在已经是世界第二大经济体，而且是全球经济增长的关键推动力。但是在世界前六大经济体中，中国的人民币是唯一一个不被用作全球储备资产的货币。尽管最近中国已经开始采取步骤，推动人民币在国际上的使用，然而中国政府却依旧不愿意对外开放资本市场，也不允许人民币自由浮动。不过，中国经济庞大的规模及其在全球产出和贸易中越来越大的份额预示着人民币在国际金融和贸易中的地位将日益提高。可更深层的问题是：人民币的全球性地位是否将与中国的经济规模相匹配 – 甚至超过美元？
2012年2月7日，布鲁金斯学会的全球经济与发展中心推出最新报告：“人民币在全球货币体系中的角色”。报告的作者是布鲁金斯学会的高级研究员、康奈尔大学教授普拉萨德（Eswar Prasad）。在布鲁金斯学会举行的报告发布会和研讨会上，普拉萨德、科恩(Donald Kohn, 布鲁金斯学会高级研究员)和摩根士丹利亚洲非执行主席、耶鲁大学教授、著名经济学家史蒂芬· 罗奇（Stephen Roach）共同讨论人民币作为国际货币的前景、及其对中国经济平衡和可持续发展以及全球货币体系的影响。讨论会的主持人是经济学人杂志的美国经济编辑Greg Ip。
The Renminbi’s Role in the Global Monetary System
Tuesday, February 7, 10:30 am — 12:00 pm
The Brookings Institution, Falk Auditorium, 1775 Massachusetts Ave, NW, Washington, DC
China now has the world’s second largest economy and is a key driver of global growth. But of the six largest economies in the world, China’s renminbi is the only currency not used as a global reserve asset. Although it has recently taken steps to promote the renminbi’s international use, the Chinese government has still not been willing to open its economy to the free flow of capital nor allow a flexible exchange rate. Nevertheless, the sheer size of China’s economy and its rising shares of global output and trade foreshadow a rising role for the renminbi in international finance and trade. The deeper question, however, is whether the renminbi’s global stature will match that of the Chinese economy— and perhaps surpass the U.S. dollar.
On February 7, Global Economy and Development at Brookings will host the launch of a new report “The Renminbi’s Role in the Global Monetary System,” featuring author Eswar Prasad, Brookings senior fellow. He will be joined by panelists Donald Kohn, Brookings senior fellow and Stephen Roach, senior lecturer and senior fellow of the Jackson Institute at Yale University, for a discussion on the renminbi’s prospects as an international currency and its implications from two perspectives—the balance and sustainability of China’s own economic development and the associated implications for the global monetary system. Greg Ip, U.S. economics editor for The Economist, will moderate the discussion.
After the program, the panelists will take audience questions.
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Moderator | |
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Greg Ip U.S. Economics Editor | |
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Panelists | |
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Donald Kohn Senior Fellow |
Eswar Prasad Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution Tolani Senior Professor of Trade Policy, Cornell University |
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Stephen Roach Non-Executive Chairman of Asia, Morgan Stanley | |
